If I am 80% sure, is there an 80% chance that I'm right? – math.stackexchange.com

If I am 80% sure, is there an 80% chance that I'm right? – math.stackexchange.com

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A friend of mine said this, and I couldn't argue why I thought it was wrong. Obviously, in some circumstances it is valid, say if you flip a coin, and I say I'm 50% sure it lands on heads. In a ...

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